Sunday, March 29, 2015

2015 MLB Preview and Unbiased Predictions

2015 MLB Preview and Unbiased Predictions

For as well as I've done in my NFL predictions the last couple of years, I've done just as poorly when it comes to my MLB predictions. Last year I had the Cardinals beating the Rays so that is all you need to know on how well I did. There are only two divisions that I would be money on knowing the division winner and they're both in the National League. I could easily see 12 American League teams vying for the five playoff spots. The National League isn't quite as up for grabs with only 8-9 teams with a real shot at making the playoffs in my humble and usually wrong opinion. This year I'm correct though about everything, I swear.

AL East

To be honest, I could pick any of the four teams not named the Rays and be able to make a case for it. The Blue Jays have re-loaded in the hopes of finally getting back to the playoffs. The Red Sox have a great offense but question marks galore in their new starting rotation. The Yankees saw Derek Jeter retire, but welcome back (no laughing) A-Rod and a stout bullpen as they try and emulate the Royals path to the playoffs. Then there are the defending champion Orioles who did jack squat in the off-season, losing Nelson Cruz, but getting back Manny Machado and possibly Matt Wieters from injury. Each team has some strengths and multiple weaknesses so I suppose it comes down to which team can hide those weaknesses long enough to make some deadline deals and make a run for the playoffs.

New York Yankees 86-76 (#3 Seed)
Baltimore Orioles 85-77
Toronto Blue Jays 83-79
Boston Red Sox 83-79
Tampa Bay Rays 74-88

AL Central

Just like the AL East (and spoiler alert the AL West too) this will be another division that could be won by all but one team. The Twins will try and steal a few games here and there, but will be an afterthought be Memorial Day. The Tigers added Yoenis Cespedes to an already potent lineup and have basically traded away Max Scherzer for David Price for the 2015 season. Their biggest question, again, will be the bullpen. The Royals were on the cusp of being one of the most improbable World Series champions last October with their speed, defense and bullpen. Not much has changed other than losing 200+ innings from James Shields. The White Sox added Jeff Samardzija and Adam LaRoche to be paired with Chris Sale and Jose Abreu to create an intriguing core. Will they still be a piece or two short remains the question. The Indians have enough offense, starting pitching and bullpen to win, but can they break through the mental hurdle of believing they can win similarly to the way Kansas City did a year ago. I say yes, yes they can.

Cleveland Indians 88-74 (#2 Seed)
Detroit Tigers 86-76 (#2 Wild Card)
Chicago White Sox 81-81
Kansas City Royals 79-83
Minnesota Twins 70-92

AL West

The Angels were the class of the West last year, but may be without Josh Hamilton while Albert Pujols is another year older. Of course they still have Mike Trout and that might just be enough. The Seattle Mariners made some key off season moves adding Nelson Cruz and Seth Smith and have a very deep starting rotation. The Athletics have made the playoffs three straight years and turned over 2/3 of their roster, but now have a young stable of pitching that could surprise or be a disaster. The Rangers have already been snake bit to the injury bug yet again this year by losing Yu Darvish, the one person they couldn't afford to lose. The Astros have acquired some more ex-Athletics and Evan Gattis in the hopes to outscore opponents every game. Their bullpen won't be nearly as laughable as it was last year.

Seattle Mariners 90-72 (#1 Seed)
Los Angeles Angels 88-74 (#1 Wild Card)
Oakland Athletics 83-79
Houston Astros 76-86
Texas Rangers 72-90

NL East

Once again the Nationals are primed to run away with the division where they will get to face their playoff demons head on once again. Outside of early season injuries, their doesn't seem to be a weakness on the roster. Well there is Matt Williams. The Marlins have Giancarlo Stanton and will get back Jose Fernandez just in time to make a run at a wild card where nobody will want to play them. The Mets are building through their young pitching, but have already lost Zach Wheeler for the season the same way Matt Harvey went down last season. Another year away, again. The Phillies and Braves will be battling for the basement with their horribly constructed rosters. Both teams are stuck in a rebuilding mode, but neither have a clue of how to do it.

Washington Nationals 91-71 (#2 Seed)
Miami Marlins 87-75 (#1 Wild Card)
New York Mets 78-84
Atlanta Braves 71-91
Philadelphia Phillies 69-93

NL Central

This will be the most hotly contested division in the National League and really the only thing to pay attention to playoff wise come September. The Cubs are everyone's trendy pick to win with Joe Maddon running the ship and their cavalcade of young stud hitters. Oh yeah John Lester is there too. The Reds have a nicely construct lineup, a true ace and a stud closer, but something just doesn't seem to mesh over a six month season. The Pirates will see how much Russell Martin really meant to the team, but have a great core of young players that should challenge again for the division. The Brewers, well they play in Milwaukee and have Ryan Braun, Matt Lucroy and Carlos Gomez. The pitching staff on the other hand is, not good (Mike Fiers, I do like though). Then there are the Cardinals, the perennial division winning Cardinals. How can we forget about them? They'll be the odds on favorite to win the division yet again.

St. Louis Cardinals 89-73 (#3 Seed)
Chicago Cubs 84-78 (#2 Wild Card)
Pittsburgh Pirates 83-79
Cincinnati Reds 78-84
Milwaukee Brewers 72-90

NL West

Home of the defending World Series champion Giants (again), this is another division like the NL East where almost everybody will be picking one team to win and it won't be San Francisco. The Dodgers should again win this division by 5-10 games with ease. The Giants haven't gotten any better, but are a plucky bunch. The Padres went crazy in the off season with a flurry of trades and free agent signings, but will it be enough to make up 11 games which is how many games they were out of a playoff spot in 2014? The Diamondbacks are still stuck in between young and old, good and bad, rebuilding and contending. Good pieces but not enough of them. The Rockies are in trouble this year. They need a healthy Troy Tulowitzki, not in order to win a World Series, but in order to trade him away for more bodies.

Los Angeles Dodgers 93-69 (#1 Seed)
San Diego Padres 83-79
San Francisco Giants 82-80
Arizona Diamondbacks 77-85
Colorado Rockies 69-93

Awards

AL ROY: Daniel Norris over Rusney Castillo
AL Cy Young: Felix Hernandez over Carlos Carrasco
AL MVP: Mike Trout over Michael Brantley

NL ROY: Joc Pederson over Jorge Soler
NL Cy Young: Clayton Kershaw over Max Scherzer
NL MVP: Giancarlo Stanton over Andrew McCutchen

Playoffs

American League

Tigers over the Angels in the play-in game


Mariners over the Tigers in 4 games
Indians over the Yankees in 4 game

Mariners over the Indians in 6 games

National League

Marlins over the Cubs  in the play-in game

Dodgers over the Marlins in 4 games
Nationals over the Cardinals in 5 games

Nationals over the Dodgers in 6 games

World Series

Nationals over the Mariners in 6 games

World Series MVP Jordan Zimmermann



Monday, February 2, 2015

NFL Recap

I was this close again!!! After predicting a Denver-Seattle Super Bowl last year I figured there was no chance I'd ever get that close again. I went with Seattle to defeat New England with my all too early prediction for this season and lo and behold I hit the nail on the head again! With 15 minutes to play Seattle held a 24-14 lead and my predicted score of 27-16 looked pretty good. But as Geico has always said, a lot can change in just 15 minutes. New England roared back and took a late lead, but Seattle drove right back down the field and with less than a minute to play was one yard away from a back to back championship and turning me into a fatter, balder version of Nostradamus. One run by Marshawn Lynch and I was money! But no. Pete Carroll called for a pass, it was intercepted and Brady and Belichick cemented themselves as the greatest quarterback/coach duo in the history of the NFL. Kudos to them on a wonderful 4th quarter comeback that will forever be overshadowed by that final play. Do they have it in them to get back to a seventh Super Bowl before Brady hangs them up? Maybe, but you'll have to scroll down to see if I have picked them to repeat. As for the Seahawks, their window of having a cheap Russell Wilson is closed, Marshawn Lynch is a free agent and pissed so this might just be the end for their mini run. They will still be a heavy favorite to compete for a Super Bowl, but I believe it'll take at least a year or two to regroup after this debacle.

So lets look back at my predictions from my 4th annual NFL Crystal Ball and see just how horrid they were.

Breakout Candidates

Jay Cutler: Tied for the league lead in interceptions and was benched for the final game of the regular season. On a brighter note, was the starting quarterback on my fantasy football team that went 10-3 in the regular season (DeMarco Murray, Arian Foster and Jordy Nelson may have been on it too).

Andre Ellington: Played a lot more, but got injured and missed the final quarter of the season. Didn't live up to the hype, but was serviceable.

Joique Bell: More rushing, less receiving and the same total touchdowns from a year before. Maybe next year he puts it all together. Close, but no cigar.

Terrance Williams: Fewer targets, receptions and receiving yards than his rookie year, but scored 3 more touchdowns. He has all the makings of a star, but will have to settle for second fiddle with Dez in Big D.

Cordarrelle Patterson/Kyle Rudolph: I don't even know where to start with this debacle of a duo. Whether it was injury or lack of playing time or both, neither did anything of note while rookie quarterback Teddy Bridgewater was showing glimpses of stardom.

Busts

Cam Newton: After a slow start, Cam looked more and more like the steady Cam by mid-season even overcoming a car accident and some broken ribs. Another swing and a miss.

Frank Gore: My annual prediction of his demise didn't exactly come true. Sure he is showing signs of wear and tear, but he still churned out 1100 yards rushing and 5 total touchdowns while starting all 16 games.

Pierre Garcon/DeSean Jackson: One yes, one no. I predicted 120 total catches and 2000 total yards: they went for 124 total catches and 1928 total yards. DeSean did most of the work of the pair, but this might have been my best prediction of the bunch.

As for MVP: I picked two quarterbacks and missed on both. Aaron Rodgers won (should've been J.J. Watt) while Drew Brees and Peyton Manning were great and awful at times.

Standings and Predicted Records (actual records in parenthesis) 

NFC EAST

Philadelphia Eagles 11-5 (10-6)
Dallas Cowboys 8-8 (12-4)
Washington Redskins 6-10 (4-12)
New York Giants 6-10 (6-10)

NFC NORTH

Green Bay Packers 13-3 (12-4)
Chicago Bears 11-5 (5-11)
Detroit Lions 9-7 (11-5)
Minnesota Vikings 6-10 (7-9)

NFC SOUTH

New Orleans Saints 12-4 (7-9)
Atlanta Falcons 8-8 (6-10)
Carolina Panthers 7-9 (7-8-1)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5-11 (2-14)

NFC WEST

Seattle Seahawks 13-3 (12-4)
Arizona Cardinals 9-7 (11-5)
San Francisco 49ers 8-8 (8-8)
St. Louis Rams 7-9 (6-10)

AFC EAST

New England Patriots 13-3 (12-4)
New York Jets 6-10 (4-12)
Miami Dolphins 3-13 (8-8)
Buffalo Bills 3-13 (9-7)

AFC NORTH

Baltimore Ravens 11-5 (10-6)
Pittsburgh Steelers 9-7 (11-5)
Cincinnati Bengals 9-7 (10-5-1)
Cleveland Browns 2-14 (7-9)

AFC SOUTH

Indianapolis Colts 13-3 (11-5)
Tennessee Titans 6-10 (2-14)
Houston Texans 5-11 (9-7)
Jacksonville Jaguars 3-13 (3-13)

AFC WEST

Denver Broncos 13-3 (12-4)
Kansas City Chiefs 9-7 (9-7)
San Diego Chargers 7-9 (9-7)
Oakland Raiders 5-11 (3-13)



I went 5/8 in predicting division winners, but missed an AFC division winner for the first time in three years as the Ravens came up short to Pittsburgh before beating them in the playoffs.


Biggest misses were Chicago and Buffalo (six games off) New Orleans, Miami and Cleveland (5 games off)

But just when I was looking like a fool...along came the playoffs:

I had Seattle beating Green Bay in the NFC Championship game so that was good (even though Chicago, Philadelphia and New Orleans made me look silly).

In the AFC...ah near perfection. I had every single winner correct and outside of picking Kansas City over Cincinnati for the #6 seed went perfect!!! Baltimore over Pittsburgh: YES New England over Baltimore: YES Indianapolis over Denver: YES New England over Indianapolis: YES 

Can't do much better than that.

As for my all too early prediction for Super Bowl 50 where I am looking for three consecutive February bulls-eyes (Denver/Seattle, New England/Seattle) I am going: Green Bay to outscore Indianapolis and return the Lombardi Trophy to where it belongs for the leagues' 50th anniversary of the big game. Each team was a game away, but this will mark a changing of the guard in the AFC and Seattle might finally have to let some of their core walk away after two straight Super Bowl appearances.  

Tuesday, December 23, 2014

FCNPFFL: Super Bowl

Another season in the books!!

Thank you to everyone for such a successful season. We had a ton of points scored and at least half the league had championship caliber rosters by seasons end.

I will always look to tweak the rules a bit to make everything more fair for everyone and I think I will add in a second waiver draft per week next year. I might move up the first waiver draft to around 9pm on Wednesday, open up K/D to free agent adding up until 9am on Sunday (or Saturday if there is a Saturday game), but then do a second waiver draft at noon on Saturday's for those who didn't pull the trigger on Wednesday or have had injuries affect them throughout the rest of the week. This way there should be a full and active roster at all times.

Of course I'll put it up to a vote.

We can always (even if Jody is upset about it) re-vote on anything that didn't pass last year because people have stated that they might have made a mistake in voting this past offseason.

When I reach out to everyone in July we can revisit this topic.

As for the Super Bowl...let's get right to the recap:

I was vying for my 5th Super Bowl while my opponent, Mike, was looking for his 1st title. With both sides having some injury concerns, the final projection for the game didn't hit until Sunday morning with CBS predicting a 96-92 victory for Mike. One of us got near our projection...the other ran out of luck.

With 5 players each playing at 1pm on Sunday, it was expected that our winner might emerge from that. Neither team did much scoring, but I held a decent lead behind 14 from Arian Foster (who threw a TD pass), 13 from Jordy Nelson and the newly added Panthers D who clawed out 12 points. Mike got 8 from Randall Cobb, 7 from Jimmy Graham (who lost 8 points on a goal line TD/Fumble call) and 6 from Jonas Gray.

The 4:30 game between Indianapolis and Dallas was going to tell the story. Mike had Andrew Luck going while I had Tony Romo and an injured DeMarco Murray. By 5:15 the game was over. The Cowboys trounced the Colts in the real world and the fantasy world behind 28 points and 4 TDs from Romo and 11 points and a TD from Murray. All three players were done playing by the middle of the 3rd quarter and the Super Bowl title was back in my hands.

Final Score: Escaped Lunatics 87 Bookoo Barbarians 26

As for the 3rd place game:

Jason II/Ike got 17 each from Aaron Rodgers and Jordan Cameron along with 16 from Emmanuel Sanders to run away from John who had a game high 26 points from Kyle Orton.

Final Score: Myra's College Fund 82 The Situation 57

Final Standings and payouts for 2014:

1st: Jason $375
2nd: Mike $165
3rd: Ike $75 (via Jason II)
4th: John $35
5th: Luke $10
6th: Joel
7th: Nate $10
8th: Matt
9th: Ben $20
10th: Alex
11th: Jody
12th: Adam
13th: Nick B $10
14th: Nick G

So 8/14 took home some money which is always nice to see.

Nick G you are on draft board duties so no missing the draft for a hockey game/preseason Redskins game/etc.....

Until 2015...

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

FCNPFFL: Playoffs - Semifinals

So much for good teams scoring a ton of points. Just like last week, teams that had spent all season tickling triple digits barely scored half as much. I can't even chalk up the low scoring due to injuries, it's just been bad play all around. The games this week were a bit more competitive, but both decided before Monday night.

Waivers will still be ran late Wednesday night.

Thursday night is the annual FCNP holiday party from 5:30-8pm. It is also the time where I hand out money just in time for some late season shopping.

Please let me know if you plan on attending to pick up your $$ so I bring the right amount.

Onto the games:

My semifinal game was against fellow 17 year veteran of the league, John. He was the last Hardi standing after both sons were knocked out in the quarterfinal round. I got things started off properly Thursday night with a solid 16 point effort from the Arizona defense. Then the scoring dried up once Sunday's action started. During the 1pm games, I had 5 players going while John had just 3 players. The top scoring player of those 8 was Arian Foster for me who mustered just 10 points. The door was wide open for John during the 4pm games with Megatron going. Unfortunately the drought continued as Calvin and the Vikings D combined for a paltry 6 points and the left everything up to the Sunday night game for John to stay in it. He had his two Eagles going while I had DeMarco Murray. The Cowboys won and Murray outscored the two Eagles 20-17 and the game was over. Jay Cutler added 17 points on MNF to wrap things up. I move on to my 7th Championship Game (4-2 previously).

Final Score: Escaped Lunatics 77 The Situation 47

In the other half of the bracket, the was even less (or is it fewer?)combined points scored. Jason II/Ike took on Mike in a competitive, albeit low scoring affair. Things started poorly for Mike as Rashad Jennings re-injured his ankle after one carry. MCF couldn't take advantage as Isaiah Crowell struggled along with the entire Browns teams, scratching out just a single point. Luckily for both, their QBs were their teams strength all season long, but Sunday was not their best effort. Aaron Rodgers had his worst game as a professional at Buffalo finishing with just 9 fantasy points. Andrew Luck wasn't much better, but just enough better tallying 17 points. The game stayed close as MCF got 14 from the Giants defense, but Mike countered with a huge 15 point effort from Connor Barth. MCF needed at least 15 points from their kicker, Dan Bailey, to keep the game going, but he only chipped in 9 points. Game over. Mike moves on to his second Championship Game (0-1 previously).

Final Score: Bookoo Barbarians 59 Myra's College Fund 50

SUPER BOWL 17

#1 Escaped Lunatics (Jason) 11-3 vs. #2 Bookoo Barbarians (Mike) 10-4


3rd place consolation game:

#3 Myra's College Fund (Jason II/Ike) vs. #4 The Situation (John)


In the other games from Week 15:

Luke took 5th place by beating his brother behind 30 from Drew Brees 77-50

Nate earned 7th place over Matt with 25 from ODB 80-73

Ben finished in 9th place by beating Alex with 25 from Dez Bryant 81-60

Jody claimed 11th place over Adam with an 18 point effort from Big Ben 60-52

TOILET BOWL CHAMPIONSHIP

Nick B destroyed Nick G relegating him officially to draft board dunce duties for draft night next year with 22 each from Tom Brady and the Bengals D.

Final Score: The Knacks 85 Lollipop Kids 49

So that's it...see everyone Thursday!!!


Tuesday, December 9, 2014

FCNPFFL: Playoffs Week 1

The beginning of what I had assumed was going to be the best and highest scoring postseason in our 17 year history got started with a whimper. Even with a midweek trade to help bolster the rosters there was still a lack of scoring overall.

Neither of the quarterfinal games held too much drama even though one of the games was tied heading into MNF.

Waivers will still be ran late Wednesday night.

The FCNP Holiday Party is scheduled for NEXT Thursday 11/18!!! I will see everyone there if you want money...Luke bring me $50!!!!!!

Onto the games:

In our #4 vs. #5 seed game, with the winner facing me in Week 15 we had a Hardi civil war. This one wasn't close as papa John (can't believe I've never used that) took a quick 11-0 lead over Luke on Thursday night and never looked back. He got 25 from Kyle Orton, 16 from Megatron, 13 from the Vikings D and 11 from Randy Bullock. Luke meanwhile saw Drew Brees suck it up with just 14 points and saw Alf return to Melmac without scoring a single point. Justin Forsett and Mason Crosby did chip in 13 points apiece, but yet another 0 from Brandon LaFell and a measly 2 points from Antonio Gates just didn't get it done. Father owns bragging rights for another year.

Final Score: The Situation 92 Deathtongue 59

The other half of the bracket, with the winner getting to take on Mike saw #3 seed Jason II/Ike take on yet another Hardi in #6 seed Joel. On paper this game was close until midway through the MNF game, but in reality this game was over Sunday night. MCF was led by newly acquired Joique Bell (brother not helping brother) with 23 on Sunday and 10 from Dan Bailey. For Luke he had gotten 16 from his two Chicago Bears on Thursday, but lost Brandon Marshall for the season midway through that game. With both QBs left to play, Luke needed a heroic effort from Philip Rivers to stay close, but he only got 12 points leaving this game tied going into Monday. MCF had MVP candidate Aaron Rodgers left to play while Joel had the Packers D. Rodgers scored 34, the Packers D LOST 4 points. Yikes.

Final Score: Myra's College Fund 86 Nikachu 48

So the Super Bowl Bracket looks like this:

#1 Escaped Lunatics 10-3 (Jason) vs. #4 The Situation 10-4 (John)

winner plays

#2 Bookoo Barbarians 9-4 (Mike) vs. #3 Myra's College Fund 10-4 (Jason II/Ike)

Chalk has held and it should prove for some good semifinal action.

As for the Purgatory Bracket:

Nate took advantage of Peyton Manning's worst game as a Denver Bronco as he blasted Ben. Nate got 27 from Matthew Stafford and 14 from The ODB while Ben got just 6 points from Manning, but 23 from CJ Anderson who did all the heavy lifting for Denver.

Final Score: The Bounchers 83 The Magic Wands 57

Matt and Alex played what would've been a playoff classic if it was for a championship as Matt rallied from waaaaaay back behind 35 points from Matt Ryan late Monday night to offset 26 from AJ Green.

Final Score: Rainbows & Puppies 75 The Worthless Peons 69

So the Purgatory Brackets looks like this:

#10 The Bounchers 6-8 (Nate) vs. #6 Rainbows & Puppies 6-8 (Matt) with the winner claiming 7th

#7 The Magic Wands 7-7 (Ben) vs. #8 The Worthless Peons 7-7 (Alex) with the winner claiming 9th

And then there is the Toilet Bowl Bracket:

Our highest and lowest scoring games of the week were found here.

Adam took out some frustrations on Nick B (who could've also topped 100 points) by leading all teams in scoring. He got 37 from Cam, 23 from Julio, 21 from Lacy, 13 from Mychael Rivera and 10 from the Pats D. Nick B did well himself with 39 from Le'Veon Bell and 26 from Tom Brady.

Final Score: Biggums' 'Basers 108 The Knacks 84

The last game was low scoring, but at least it was close. Jody got 34 of his 54 points from Big Ben while Nick G got 33 of his 52 points from Julian Edelman and Colin Kaepernick. Jody avoids draft board duty for next year as it will fall to Nick G by default.

Final Score: DoggNutz 54 Lollipop Kids 52

The Toilet Bowl Bracket looks like this:

#13 Lollipop Kids 3-11 (Nick G) vs. #11 The Knacks 4-10 (Nick B) for last place

#14 Biggums' 'Basers 4-10 (Adam) vs. #12 DoggNutz 5-9 (Jody) with the winner claiming 11th



Tuesday, December 2, 2014

FCNP: Week 13 Results

There was no chance that Week 13 of 2014 could match the level of drama that 2013 brought us. There just wasn't enough up for grabs with one week to play. I don't think we'll ever see a MNF game that held so much at stake than that fateful game from last year. Thank heavens we weren't forced to watch the 'football' game that took place last night. When you are seeing references that read 'The last time .... happened was in 1953' repeatedly you know something weird has happened.

Anyways, another successful regular season has concluded (one of our best yet for overall balance and scoring) and I thank everyone for giving it a full effort.

Waivers continue into the playoffs and will be ran late Wednesday night.

Let's see how this season wrapped up:

I controlled my own destiny to lock up the league regular season title and #1 overall seed, but my team didn't make it easy. After a lackluster performance by newly acquired QB Tony Romo on Thanksgiving I left the door open for Adam to pull the upset. He get 18 from Julio Jones, 16 from Cam Newton and 10 each from Eddie Lacy and Greg the Leg, but still trailed by 7 going in MNF thanks to 29 from my RB tandem and 13 from Justin Tucker. He only got 6 from Chris Ivory on Monday and came up one point short.

Final Score: Escaped Lunatics 74 Biggums' 'Basers 73

I didn't have to sweat things out on Monday because Alex had already defeated Jason II/Ike on Sunday behind 22 points each from Mark Sanchez and Kenny Stills. MCF did get 28 from Aaron Rodgers in a losing effort. They have to settle for the #3 overall seed (thanks to overall points scored) while Alex concludes one of, if not his best seasons ever in this league.

Final Score: The Worthless Peons 78 Myra's College Fund 60

John didn't have too much to play for other than seeding as he was already locked into playing in Week 14 in the playoffs, but it didn't stop him from putting up big numbers against Nick B. With 21 from Megatron, 16 from Drew Stanton, 12 each from Dan Herron and Cody Parkey, John goes into the playoffs with a full head of steam. Oh, Nick B, you had such a good team wasted by not updating your lineup. With 25 from Le'Veon Bell and 20 from Tom Brady, Nick B had a good week, but by leaving his two Colts on the bench against the lowly Redskins he left 33 potential extra points on the bench...again. This should've been a playoff team for The Knacks.

Final Score: The Situation 96 The Knacks 69

Thanks to some shrewd trading I have to think that Mike is our clubhouse favorite to win a title this season. His team continued to dominated scoring the most points in the league for the 3rd time this season. He knocked Ben right out of the playoffs with a 134 point explosion. 82 of those points came from Andrew Luck and the Rams D while newly (you're welcome) acquired RB Rashad Jennings posted 21 to boot. Ben had a great season and might be the best team to not make the playoffs in our 17 year history (3rd in the league in scoring 37 points more than 4th and 119 more points than our lowest scoring playoff team!!!). He got 38 from Tre Mason and 23 from CJ Anderson...but oh the irony of a zero RB strategy that his non-RB's were the ones that let him down when it mattered most. Peyton Manning had a pedestrian 14 points and his WR/TE combo (w/o injured Julius Thomas) mustered just 16 points. Mike now needed a loss by Joel to wrap up the Critter Corner Division.

Final Score: Bookoo Barbarians 134 The Magic Wands 92

Joel took on Matt who really was playing just to avoid the Toilet Bowl with a division title on the line. Joel got all risky benching his starting QB in Philip Rivers for Josh McCown who had the perceived better matchup. That backfired in a big way. Rivers blew up for 31 points while McCown struggled to just 8 points. The Bills D did score 21 points and Antonio Brown hauled in 19 for Nikachu to try and offset that error. Matt got a surprising 33 points from DeAndre Hopkins and 16 from Alshon Jeffery to help offset his measly 2 points total from his RBs. Down 12, Matt still had 2 players playing Sunday night while Joel had just one. The Broncos D posted 15 points and Santos booted in 4 points while Joel got just 2 points from Travis Kelce. Matt pulls the upset costing Joel a division title, bye week and $$. Mike smiles.

Final Score: Rainbows & Puppies 77 Nikachu 72

I gave away the final playoff spot results earlier with my #RIPBeth spoiler alert commentary above, but Luke found his way into the big dance with a resounding victory over Jody, coupled with the loss by Ben. Luke got 36 from Drew Brees, 20 from a rejuvenated Seahawks D and 12 from Mason Crosby. Jody got 29 from Big Ben in a losing effort, sending him to another Toilet Bowl. Since Luke beat his brother Joel in their only meeting, Luke gets the #5 seed while Joel drops all the way to the #6 seed after going into the week looking at a possible BYE, brutal.

Final Score: Deathtongue 93 DoggNutz 51

Our last game of the regular season involved two non-playoff teams in Nick G and Nate. The Bounchers finished the season on fire with a 112 point effort behind 25 from Matt Stafford, 20 from Keenan Allen, 19 from LeSean McCoy, 14 from Matt Bryant, 11 each from Lamar Miller and the Texans D and a partridge in a pear tree. Nick got 14 each from Kendall Wright and the Colts D in the loss.

Final Score: The Bounchers 112 Lollipop Kids 56

Final Regular Season Standings:
#1 Seed - Escaped Lunatics 10-3 (Back Wall Champion)
#2 Seed - Bookoo Barbarians 9-4 (Critter Corner Champion)
#3 Seed - Myra's College Fund 9-4 (1063 points, split season series w/ Situation)
#4 Seed - The Situation 9-4 (987 points)
#5 Seed - Deathtongue 8-5 (H2H win over Nikachu)
#6 Seed - Nikachu 8-5
---------------------------------------
#7 Seed - Magic Wands 7-6 (1106 points)
#8 Seed - Worthless Peons 7-6 (862 points)
#9 Seed - Rainbows & Puppies 5-8 (H2H win over Bounchers)
#10 Seed-The Bounchers 5-8
---------------------------------------
#11 Seed-The Knacks 4-9 (886 points)
#12 Seed-DoggNutz 4-9 (874 points)
#13 Seed-Lollipop Kids 3-10 (Swept Biggums')
#14 Seed-Biggums' 'Basers 3-10

Playoffs:

Super Bowl

#3 Seed Jason II/Ike vs. #6 Seed Joel (Winner Plays #2 Seed Mike)
#4 Seed John vs. #5 Seed Luke (Winner Plays #1 Seed Jason)

Purgatory Bowl

#7 Seed Ben vs. #10 Seed Nate
#8 Seed Alex vs. #9 Seed Matt

Toilet Bowl

#11 Seed Nick B vs. #14 Seed Adam
#12 Seed Jody vs. #13 Seed Nick G

With Adam missing the playoffs his streak of 6 straight years in ends and now Joel has the current longest streak at 3 years. He also goes from #1 Seed and Super Bowl champion in 2013 to #14 seed in 2014.

For the sixth straight year the FCNPFFL will have 3 or more different playoff teams than the previous year.

Both Mike (89.0) and I (89.6) eclipsed the reigning points per game scoring record held by John at 87.0 (set in 2010)

The last two #1 seeds have won the Super Bowl after it not happening ever before (at least since 2000)

In the 15 years of record keeping (98-99 lost in the great move from JMU in 2000) our 2014 playoff participants (in times made the playoffs; previous Super Bowl championships)

Jason 10;4
Mike 5;0
Ike 5;1
John 3;0
Joel 3;0 (in 3 years of participation)
Luke 7;0

So the Hardi clan has all 3 of their members in the playoffs, but they have combined for 10 previous playoff appearances without a trophy. With 50% of the field can they finally bring home a title after 37 combined years of playing???

Ike's only title came against me in 2004

I won the title in 2002, 2007, 2009 and 2011 while losing in 1998 and 2004

John lost his only Super Bowl appearance in 2010

Mike lost his only Super Bowl appearance in 2005

Luke and Joel have never played in a Super Bowl

As for draft positions and making the playoffs:

Our 3rd, 4th, 9th, 10th, 13th and 14th positions made the playoffs

Draft picks 1-7 went 42-49; Draft picks 8-14 went 49-42

Critter Corner went 9-8 against the Back Wall Division

Good luck to all those in the playoffs!

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

FCNPFFL: Week 12 Results

Last week!!!! While most of the playoffs spots have been locked up, seeding has not. There is still a lot to play for throughout the league.

Best news of all...NO BYE WEEKS!!!!

Reminder to everyone as this is Thanksgiving week...there are 3 THURSDAY GAMES with the first one starting around noon so make sure to get your lineups set. I will be available for last minute kicker/defenses switches as always, if needed.

Waivers will be ran as normal late Wednesday night, so don't sleep in too late on turkey day and forget to switch in your waiver picks if need be.

Onto the games:

With everything on the line for me this week (win streak, division and regular season league title) my team came out dead flat against Jason II/Ike. The 49ers led me in scoring with just 14 points as my six skill position players mustered just one touchdown. As for Jason II/Ike, they scored a TD about 8 seconds into Sunday from the Philly D and then got 5 more TDs from their six skill positions. Aaron Rodgers scored 21, Isaiah Crowell added 20 and this game was over before it got started. We now have a tie atop the Back Wall Division at 9-3.

Final Score: Myra's College Fund 86 Escaped Lunatics 67

John bounced back with a narrow win over Adam this week behind 20 from newly acquired Kyle Orton (RGIII would've scored him just 4 and a loss), 19 from Cody Parkey, 16 from Ryan Mathews and 14 from the Chargers D. Adam had a good 2-man showing with 24 each from Zach Mettenberger and Eddie Lacy as well as 11 from the Patriots D, but just 14 more from his other 5 players.

Final Score: The Situation 79 Biggums' 'Basers 73

In our first of two current playoff teams vs. teams trying to get in, Luke and Mike hooked up in a high scoring affair. Mike had his chance to lock down a division title as well as keep his win streak in tact and did everything he could to do so. Unfortunately Bill Belichick, a sleepy Jonas Gray and a porous Saints D hindered his chances greatly. Andrew Luck led Mike with 20, Jamaal Charles stayed hot with 16 and Jimmy Graham and the Rams D add 15 points apiece. Jonas Gray who was late to practice didn't touch the ball or see the field for the Patriots and plummeted back to Earth with 0 points. Through Sunday Luke had nothing going on with 16 from the Seahawks D and 14 from Jeremy Hill, but Monday night got him 63 points from Drew Brees and Justin Forsett!! Not only did he beat Mike, keep his playoff hopes alive, but also notched $10 for top scoring team of the week.

Final Score: Deathtongue 107 Bookoo Barbarians 83

Our second game of 'in vs. out' saw Joel who had the opportunity to tie Mike up for first in the Critter Corner Division took on Alex who was just hoping to sneak into the 6th and final playoff spot. With 26 from the Bills stout D, 21 from Matt Forte, 18 from Josh McCown and 15 from Anquan Boldin, Joel did his part. Alex got 20 from a rejuvenated Bears D and 17 from Mark Sanchez but no TDs from his RBs or WRs cost him and probably ended his season.

Final Score: Nikachu 90 The Worthless Peons 74

Ben needed a win over Nate to stay in the playoffs with Luke's win. Now that he has two starting RBs his team is rounding into shape at the right time and even without Julius Thomas, Ben posted a win with the 2nd highest scoring team of the week. Peyton Manning had 29, CJ Anderson tacked on 23, Dez Bryant hauled in 17 and Gostkowski kicked in 11 additional points. Nate had a very good week as well with 21 from rookie superstar Odell Beckham, 19 from LeSean McCoy (too little too late department) and 13 from Matt Stafford.

Final Score: The Magic Wands 93 The Bounchers 81

Our last two games involved four teams already eliminated from playoff contention:

Jody beat up a scuffling Matt behind 23 from Demaryius Thomas and 19 from Alex Smith. Matt got 14 from Brian Hoyer, but an ugly -5 from the Broncos D.

Final Score: DoggNutz 66 Rainbows & Puppies 38

In the battle of the Nick's...it was G over B thanks to Nick B leaving in 2 BYE week players and an injured Victor Cruz. It's a shame because Nick B has so much talent on his roster too. Just replacing his 3 players with the 3 on the bench would've vaulted Nick B up to 97 points for the week. Instead Nick G earns a win with 18 from the Colts D and 16 from Kaepernick.

Final Score: The Lollipop Kids 67 The Knacks 56

Standings after Week 12:

#1 Seed - Escaped Lunatics 9-3 (Split season series w/ Myra's has 88 point lead)
#2 Seed - Nikachu 8-4 (Won vs. Bookoo in Week 2)
#3 Seed - Myra's College Fund 9-3
#4 Seed - Bookoo Barbarians 8-4 (1023 points)
#5 Seed - The Situation 8-4 (891 points)
#6 Seed - The Magic Wands 7-5 (Split series w/ Deathtongue; 1014 points)
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#7 Seed - Deathtongue 7-5 (952 points)
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#8 Seed - The Worthless Peons 6-6 (Can't catch Wands in points w/ only 784 YTD)
#9 Seed - The Bounchers 4-8 (847 points)
#10 Seed- DoggNutz 4-8 (823 points)
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#11 Seed- The Knacks 4-8 (817 points)
#12 Seed- Rainbows & Puppies 4-8 (767 points)
#13 Seed- Lollipop Kids 3-9 (Swept Biggums')
#14 Seed- Biggums' 'Basers 3-9

Schedule for Week 13...with scenarios!!!

Jason 9-3 vs. Adam 3-9 (Win and clinch #1 seed, lose and need loss by Jason II to clinch)
Jason/Ike 9-3 vs. Alex 6-6 (Win and outscore me by 89 points or win w/ my loss to clinch #1 seed)
Joel 8-4 vs. Matt 4-8 (Joel- Win and clinch division, lose and well lots of things)
Mike 8-4 vs. Ben 7-5 (Game of the Week)...Mike win and loss by Joel to clinch division; Ben win to clinch playoff spot, win with loss by Joel and 3 way tie comes down to points scored for division title and bye
John 8-4 vs. Nick B 4-8 (John basically playing for seeding at this point)
Luke 7-5 vs. Jody 4-8 (Luke needs a win and a lost by Ben to get in)
Nate 4-8 vs. Nick G 3-9 (Toilet Bowl seeding/participation only)

It looks like Ben has the most interesting week ahead as he could finish anywhere from 2nd to 7th...Bye week to no playoffs. The Critter Corner division has the chance to get really fun unless Joel wants to be a party pooper and just win. Back Wall is pretty cut and dry as I still control my fate because of the 88 points lead...which of course is always a chance to overcome, but still slim.

If anyone sees something with the scenarios that I am missing please let me know. Good luck to everyone and have a Happy Thanksgiving!!! Safe travels if you are out and about. I should have FCNP Holiday party info soon enough. Luke you still owe me $50 with you $10 prize this week.